By Richard Gibbs | 28 Jun 2024

The 2024-25 NSW State Budget, under the Minn’s Government, is a comprehensive plan focusing on the key pillars of a sustainable society: housing, health, and education.

The budget shows a strong commitment to addressing the housing supply backlog, supporting the state’s most vulnerable, and ensuring essential services are accessible in both metropolitan and regional areas. Major investments are directed towards increasing housing supply, with a historic $5.1 billion allocated for social homes and $655.1 million for key worker and rental housing.

The budget also includes significant funding for improvements to the NSW Planning system and the redevelopment of hospitals across Western Sydney. However, it also raises concerns about potential labour sourcing difficulties due to a tight labour market and limited investment in innovation. The tax increases for foreign investors and landowners may also discourage investment in NSW. Despite these potential risks, the Minn’s Government’s budget is well-intentioned and, if delivered, will significantly benefit the State’s people.

Cost of Living

  • $1,000 cost of living adjustment to protect essential workers against unexpected “substantial” increases in inflation.
  • $100 million increase to energy rebate support spending, bringing the total to $435.4 million.
  • $561 million to continue the weekly $60 toll cap.
  • Continued stamp duty exemptions for first home buyers for houses valued up to $1 million and vacant land valued up to $450,000.
  • 5% wage increase for NSW public sector workers.

Housing and Planning

  • $520 million for infrastructure to support TOD developments.
  • $555.5 million to speed up planning and construct enabling infrastructure ($253.7 million for planning and $246.7 million for enabling infrastructure/conservation/land acquisition).
  • $200 million for Faster Assessments program to provide enabling infrastructure grants for councils that exceed their housing targets.
  • Building Homes for NSW program targets 21,000 new market and affordable houses, 8,400 new social houses, and 500 rental homes for key workers.
  • $655.1 million for key worker and rental housing including:
    • $450 million for a metro area Key Worker Build-to-Rent Program to be delivered by Landcom
    • $200 million for rural and regional key worker housing.
  • $8.4 million for the NSW Rental Taskforce to strengthen renter protections. The Taskforce is between Fair Trading NSW and the NSW rental commissioner.

Transport and Roads

  • $13.4 billion for Sydney Metro West, with potential for an additional station at Rosehill.
  • $2.1 billion to deliver Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2 (Parramatta to Olympic Park).
  • $1.9 billion for a zero-emissions bus fleet.
  • Funding for new bus services from Western Sydney Airport to Blacktown, Camden, Campbelltown, Fairfield, Liverpool, and Penrith.
  • $1.0 billion additional funding to upgrade arterial roads including:
    • $1.0 billion for Mamre Road Stage 2
    • $800 million to widen Elizabeth Drive
    • $520 million to widen Richmond Road
    • $276.3 million to upgrade Garfield Road East
    • $230 million for Mulgoa Road Stage 2
    • $48.3 million to upgrade Memorial Avenue
    • $45 million for the St Johns and Appin Road intersection.

Health

  • $3.6 billion over 4 years for hospital upgrades across Western Sydney, including:
    • $1.3 billion for the new Bankstown Hospital
    • $1.0 billion investment in the Nepean Hospital and Integrated Ambulatory Services Stage 1 and 2 redevelopments
    • $700.0 million for Rouse Hill Hospital redevelopment
    • $619.0 million for the redevelopment of the Children’s Hospital at Westmead (Stage 2)
    • $550.0 million for Fairfield Hospital redevelopment
    • $350.0 million for Canterbury Hospital expansion and upgrade
    • $120.0 million towards the Blacktown Hospital and Mount Druitt Hospital redevelopments.
  • $189 million over four years on healthcare to reduce the cost of running a GP clinic, to allow for more bulk billing.
  • $104 million for the waiving of all historical payroll tax liabilities for GP clinics.
  • Payroll tax rebate for contracted doctors to clinics in Sydney who bulk bill more than 80% of patients (70% for rest of NSW).

Education

  • $3.6 billion for new and upgraded schools in Western Sydney.
  • $1.2 million towards the expansion of a recruitment program for hard-to-staff schools. The scheme will be extended to 110 public schools with chronic teacher shortages, offering bonuses of up to $30,000 including relocation payments.
  • $1.4 billion for regional education infrastructure.

Supporting Victims of Domestic and Family Violence

  • $245.6 million to reduce family and domestic violence including:
    • $48.1 million in funding for specialist workers
    • $48.0 million for to expand the Staying Home Leaving Violence (SHLV) program across the rest of NSW.

Community Support

  • $527.6 million for emergency housing and homelessness services including:
    • Over $260 million for crisis and transition accommodation
    • Over $260 million to support the homeless or those at risk of homelessness.
  • Working with Children Check will increase from $80 to $105 dollars, increasing in later years in line with the CPI increase.
  • $5.7 billion for disaster relief and recovery programs.

Energy and Environment

  • $945.7 million to address biosecurity threats.
  • $3.1 billion for the energy transition, including the creation of five renewable energy zones (REZs) across NSW.
  • $189.5 million over four years to fill 286 positions at Fire and Rescue NSW.

Building Better Communities

  • $5.1 billion for 8,400 social homes, 50% of which will be prioritised for victims of domestic and family violence.
  • $1.0 billion to repair 33,500 existing social houses.
  • $202.6 million for the maintenance of NSW First Nations social housing.

Western Sydney

  • $5.2 billion for roads in Western Sydney over four years ($1.0 billion in FY25).
  • Over $21.0 billion for public transport projects:
    • $13.4 billion over 4 years for the delivery of the Sydney Metro West, connecting Greater Parramatta to the Sydney CBD.
    • $5.5 billion over 4 years for the new Sydney Airport metro.
    • $2.1 billion provisioned for Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2
    • New dedicated bus services connecting Blacktown, Camden, Campbelltown, Fairfield, Liverpool and Penrith to the new Western Sydney Airport
    • $24.7 million towards better bus services in North-West Sydney.
  • $137.9 million to support the delivery of up to 6,000 homes to be built in areas including Greater Macarthur, Greater Penrith, Eastern Creek and the Western Sydney Aerotropolis.
  • $7.2 billion for schools and hospitals across Western Sydney:
    • $3.6 billion for new and upgraded schools, including a new primary school and new high school in Box Hill, as well as upgrades to:
      • Austral Public School
      • Leppington Public School
      • Riverbank Public School
      • The Ponds High School
      • Multipurpose hall to be used by Yennora Public School and Verona School.
    • Over half of the 100 preschools to be delivered across NSW will be in Western Sydney.

The state is working in partnership with the Australian Government to deliver critical infrastructure in Western Sydney. This includes:

  • $1.0 billion upgrade Mamre Road Stage 2 between Erskine Park and Kemps Creek.
  • $800.0 million widening of Elizabeth Drive, with four lanes connecting Mamre Road and The Northern Road to the Airport.
  • $520.0 million widening of Richmond Road – M7 to Townson Road.
  • $48.2 million upgrade of Memorial Avenue from Old Windsor Road to Windsor Road.
  • $230.0 million addition of a separated four-lane dual carriage road on Mulgoa Road Stage 2.
  • Additional $110.2 million for M7-M12 Interchange.
  • $45.0 million to upgrade the intersection at St Johns Road and Appin Road.

Regional NSW

  • $200 million towards accommodation for regional health areas to keep people within the towns and communities where they are employed.
  • $50 million additional funding for the Regional Development Trust (bringing total to $400 million).
  • 26 regional schools added to the Priority Recruitment Support program, allowing schools with longstanding vacancies to advertise a recruitment bonus of up to $20,000 and a relocation bonus of up to $8,000 for eligible teachers.
  • $1.4 billion for regional education infrastructure.
  • $3.3 billion to repair State and local roads impacted by natural disasters.
  • $332.2 million to transform Parkes into a national freight and logistics hub.
  • $283.4 million over the next four years to enhance digital connectivity for rural, regional and remote NSW.
  • $128.5 million for regional road upgrades at infrastructure at the Newcastle Port to enable transport of components for Renewable Energy Zone projects.
  • $200.1 million for key health worker accommodation across rural and regional areas including Lake Cargelligo, Tweed Heads, Lismore and Eurobodalla.
  • $307.2 million to improve water security for regional communities.

Property

  • NSW Government has removed the annual indexation on land tax rates, instead freezing the tax-free threshold for land tax at the 2024 level of $1.0755 million. This excludes land used for owner-occupied residences.
  • $187.5 million in revenue over four years to 2027-28 from foreign investor surcharges. The foreign purchaser duty surcharge will be increased from 8% to 9% from FY25, and the foreign landowner surcharge will also increase from 4% to 5%.
  • Government will shift the cost of the Emergency Services Levy (ESL) off insurers and onto property owners. PCA estimates the cost at $4.7 billion.

The Minn’s Government State Budget for 2024-25 centres on the development of critical pillars for a sustainable society: housing, health, and education. From this Budget, the NSW Government has demonstrated its commitment to making a dent in housing supply backlog, supporting the State’s most vulnerable, and ensuring that key services are provided in metropolitan and regional communities.

The bulk of the Budget’s housing investment has been allocated to increasing housing supply, through a focus on social housing, key worker housing, utilising government land, and planning system reform improvements. With the annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Report highlighting that Sydney is the second-most unaffordable capital city in the world, any efforts to increase the supply of housing at various price points, which will alleviate demand-supply pressure, is welcome.

A historic $5.1 billion has been allocated for the delivery of 8,400 social homes, in addition to the $1 billion allocated for maintenance repairs on 33,500 social homes. This demonstrates a commitment to both enhancing quality of life outcomes for social housing tenants and ensuring that best efforts are made to reduce the social housing register. The NSW Government has also committed $655.1 million for key worker and rental housing, including $450 million for a Key Worker Build-to-Rent Program, to be delivered by Landcom. The remaining funds are for key health workers in regional and rural areas. This funding is especially welcomed given key workers are critical to the functioning of any community. Creating provisions for residents to be able to live in the areas where they are needed is fundamental to delivering an equitable and productive NSW.

We also welcome the NSW Government’s commitment to making improvements to the NSW Planning system, including upgrades to the NSW Planning e-portal and technology investments, and the funding of more local government planning positions. These investments should help to speed up the planning process within NSW, with the goal of increasing delivery of residential dwellings, along with other asset classes. The Government will also leverage its own land to support the delivery of housing across private, social and key worker housing segments.

This State Budget makes major efforts to deliver equitable outcomes to Greater Sydney’s burgeoning population westward, ensuring that communities are well-serviced. The NSW Government has allocated $3.6 billion over four years for the redevelopment and upgrading of hospitals across Western Sydney, including Bankstown Hospital, Nepean Hospital, Fairfield Hospital, and Blacktown Hospital. Ensuring that people have access to high quality medical facilities will only become more important as more people live longer. Investment in new and upgraded schools throughout Western Sydney and Regional NSW, in addition to the expansion of recruitment programs for hard-to-staff schools, demonstrates the NSW Government’s continued focus on investing in education. Funding for the continuation of the $60 weekly toll cap supports long distance commuters, notably impacting a higher number of key workers who live in Sydney’s outer suburbs. This ultimately mitigates barriers to choice and opportunity in the labour market and in people’s everyday lives, making the Greater Sydney economy more dynamic.

While the 2024-25 NSW Budget contains significant and important funding measures, some issues remain unanswered. The Government’s investment in housing, social infrastructure and transport delivery comes during a historically tight labour market.  With an extremely low statewide unemployment rate of 3.8% for May 2024, an increase in employed people and a decrease in the underemployment rate, there will likely be difficulties in sourcing appropriate construction, education, and transport labour. Limited investment in innovation means that that there may be difficulties in delivering these services in a cost-effective or timely manner. As such, innovation and productivity in these sectors will heavily impact the deliverability and inflationary impact of these Budget measures.

The tax increases for foreign investors and landowners may also have a counterproductive effect, with increased costs potentially impacting feasible of projects. The Government has also frozen the tax-free threshold for land tax at the 2024 level of $1.0755 million (excluding land used for owner-occupied residences). These measures have the potential to disincentivise investment in NSW from foreign and domestic investors, compared to less tax-intensive states. Given that the supply of housing is one of, if not the most, pressing issues faced by the State at this time, disincentivising investment in the NSW built environment is a clear risk.

On another note, we note that there has been a need to allocate funding to the Aerotropolis Precinct and its surrounds, with the new Western Sydney Airport due to open in mid-2026. Funding for the delivery of roads, public transport and enabling works for the Bradfield City Centre was ultimately necessary and inevitable to ensure operational readiness of the precinct in line with the opening of the airport. It is appreciated, however, that funding has been dedicated to these items to ensure this is achieved.

Overall, Minns’ NSW Budget for 2024-25 puts the key needs of the State’s people at the forefront. While there are potential risks related to funding, the AAA credit rating and delivery of the Budget, the intentions of the Minn’s Government are well-placed and will be favourable if delivered.

Please get in touch for further information or to explore the opportunities this budget entails for your business.

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