3 Oct 2024

Brisbane’s apartment pipeline has struggled to keep up with demand since 2019 and looks set to continue to fall short for the foreseeable future.  

In a keynote address at the Property Development of Australia’s Queensland breakfast series, Urbis Director Paul Riga showed when it comes to Brisbane apartment supply the pipeline is constrained with sticky headwinds. 

Urbis data reveals Brisbane has not developed the quantum of apartment supply required under the regional plan since 2019 and is unlikely to do so for the foreseeable future.  

Riga said Brisbane would fall short of its medium and high-rise targets required by the South East Queensland Regional Plan by 1,000 – 2,000 dwellings annually over the period to 2027. 

Paul Riga’s keynote address at the Property Development of Australia’s Queensland breakfast series

“It is clear from the data that Brisbane has lagged behind where it needs to be in terms of apartment supply and unless something drastic changes, will continue to fall short in terms of delivering high density attached product. 

“Worryingly our analysis is potentially optimistic given the widely publicised headwinds being experienced in the multi-residential sector with a third of Brisbane’s supply at a moderate to high risk of not being developed by 2027.  

This protracted development time adds risk to projects in an already volatile environment.

Paul Riga View Profile

“We are seeing nationally that apartment projects are taking longer than ever with the time taken to develop an apartment building (approval to completion) increasing from 45 months in 2019 to 75 months in 2024.  

“This protracted development time adds risk to projects in an already volatile environment,” Riga said. 

Property Council of Australia Queensland Executive Director Jess Caire said government needed to rethink how it leveraged the institutional capital required to make large scale apartment projects feasible. 

“As we can see from this data, something significant needs to change if we are going to get close to our housing targets. 

“Feedback from investors is that a lot of high-density residential development in Brisbane simply isn’t feasible due to a combination of declining productivity, constrained infrastructure delivery and the impost of government taxes. 

“As the data released by Urbis shows, we simply cannot respond to a housing crisis and the level of supply we need without significant reform,” Caire said.