By Mark Dawson | 29 Aug 2017

Urbis’ assessment of Melbourne’s off the plan apartment market recorded 723 sales from 49 off the plan projects in the June 2017 quarter. Of these, 44% were in the Inner Melbourne area, while 56% were recorded in Melbourne’s middle ring.

In Inner Melbourne, Urbis assessed 321 sales from 33 projects in the quarter, with the sales volume increasing by 64% from the previous quarter, with solid results in a number of projects nearing or achieving presales thresholds.

With the majority of Inner Melbourne sales made up of one-bedroom product, the weighted average sale price decreased by $50,700 to $656,000. One-bedroom, zero car product was the most popular product type in the quarter, accounting for 37% of total sales, compared to 17% in the previous quarter. Mr Mark Dawson, Director of Property Economics and Research, said “This is the first time in over 3 years we have seen one-bedroom, zero-car apartments dominate.  This comes on the back of tightening vacancy and rental growth in recent months, with excess demand for one bedroom rentals.”

“The majority of one-bedroom, zero car sales were in the Central and Inner West Precincts, which is unsurprising considering how well connected these precincts are. The level of transport and amenity in these areas and growth in car share options means car spaces are becoming a bonus rather than a necessity for a growing portion of the market” Mr Dawson said.

This is the first time in over 3 years we have seen one-bedroom, zero-car apartments dominate.

In the middle-ring, two-bedroom, two-bathroom product accounted for 38% of total sales, lifting the weighted average sale price for this product type to $628,000. “The weighted average sale price for two-bedroom, two-bathroom product in Inner Melbourne is $856,000.

Looking more centrally, in the Central Precinct it is almost $900,000 and close to $1.3 million in the Inner East Precinct. As always, many buyers are trading off space, location and price.  Some will choose a one-bedroom apartment without a car space in the Central or Inner East Precinct in the low $500,000s as it suits their lifestyle or rental ambitions at a lower price point than a two-bedroom apartment in the middle ring.

For others, the growing volume of two-bedroom stock in the middle ring represents an opportunity to leverage city-wide infrastructure improvements. Together, these options highlight the increasing choice available as the Metropolitan apartment market matures.

Although the traditionally popular two-bedroom apartment accounts for approximately 50%, of future supply, one-bedroom product is also sitting high at almost 44% of future supply – which is in line with current sales trends. “The level of one-bedroom product sitting in future supply in Inner Melbourne exceeds the other States,” Mr Dawson said. “In comparison, in Sydney 32% of future supply is one-bedroom and studio product, in Brisbane it is 38%.  After a sustained delivery of two-bedroom stock, we are seeing a slight swing back towards one bedrooms on the back of particularly strong rental demand and wider affordability conditions in the market.”

Nine new projects launched amounting to 1,700 units this quarter. However, only five projects (1,100 apartments) are expected to launch next quarter, as the Melbourne apartment market takes stock of conditions following the changes to stamp duty concessions and the restricted lending environment.

Mr Dawson said that each of the five Inner Melbourne precincts, and the middle-ring, has its own advantages which work to attract buyers. “The Inner East Precinct continues to attract a significant premium, with high quality projects targeting owner occupiers and downsizers, who are looking for exclusivity but with walkable amenity. However, the Central, Inner North, Inner West and Inner South Precincts are able to offer a variety of apartment types at a range of price-points – attracting owner-occupiers and investors,” Mr Dawson said. “Combined with the rise of the more affordable middle-ring apartment market, we are starting to see greater choice permeate the wider Metropolitan market.”

The summary dashboard presents sales results for all projects (including our traditional inner Melbourne reporting area and wider metropolitan results). 

  • To view Inner Melbourne only please select precincts Central – Inner West from the Precinct selector. 
  • To view Middle Ring Only please select ‘other’ from the Precinct selector.
  • To view combined results see below. 
  • Urbis recorded 723 off the plan sales in the June 2017 quarter. Of these, 44% were in the Inner Melbourne area, while 56% were recorded in Melbourne’s middle ring.
  • Once again, the majority of sales were in the middle ring. Within Inner Melbourne, 45% of sales were recorded in the Central Precinct, followed by the Inner North (26% sales), Inner West (21% of sales), Inner East (7% sales) and Inner South (1% sales).
  • The weighted average sales price for the June 2017 quarter was $656,000 for the Inner Melbourne precincts, a $50,700 decrease compared to the March 2017 quarter. This decrease was driven by the volume of one-bedroom, one-bathroom, zero car product transacting. This was the most popular product type in the quarter, accounting for 37% of total sales, compared to 17% in the previous quarter.
  • Two-bedroom, two-bathroom product accounted for 28% of total sales, compared to 35% in the previous quarter.
  • In the middle ring, the weighted average sale price for the June 2017 quarter was $583,781, an increase of $52,363. The increase was driven by the volume of two-bedroom, two-bathroom product sold – 38% of total sales compared to 29% in the previous quarter.
  • Nine new projects launched in the quarter, amounting to approx.1,700 apartments. As predicted previously a significant volume was brought forward to achieve sales prior to the stamp duty changes coming into effect 1st
  • Only five projects (approx. 1,100 apartments) are expected to launch next quarter, as the Melbourne apartment market takes stock of conditions following the removal of stamp duty incentives for investors.