19 Aug 2016

Gold Coast regions could run low on new apartment stock after experiencing the strongest demand in sales since the Global Financial Crisis.

The latest Urbis Gold Coast Apartment Essentials report has found while the pipeline of new apartment stock in the Gold Coast Central Precinct remained strong, regions such as the Coastal Fringe and Southern Beaches could potentially run out of new apartment stock within 12 months.

Urbis Senior Consultant Lynda Campbell said the supply of available new apartments had fallen substantially in the past quarter. She said while there was a depth of stock in the planning and development application stages across the coast, supply pressure was becoming visible in some regions.

We’re expecting an increase in sales in the coming months, which is going to put further pressure on supply of new apartments all along the coast, but particularly in the Southern Beaches.

Lynda Campbell, Senior Consultant

“Some areas of the Gold Coast have less than three quarters worth of new apartment stock available for sale,” Ms Campbell said.

“The areas under the greatest pressure are the Southern Beaches, which has approximately five months of new apartment stock available for sale, and the Coastal Fringe, which has only eight months of product for sale.”

Ms Campbell said in the past quarter six new projects were added to the survey while six existing projects had sold out.

“Growth on the Gold Coast is very strong with more than $11 billion in infrastructure projects driving the economy. Increased tourism and relative affordability, compared to capital city markets has renewed confidence in the region,” Ms Campbell said.

The Urbis report revealed total sales for the last quarter were steady, reaching 304 from 38 surveyed projects, which was similar to last year – and close to double the figures of 2014. The figure was also well above the five and 10 year averages of 221 and 248 respectively.

The number of apartments available for sale at the end of June by precinct were North Shore (199), Gold Coast Central (666), Coastal Fringe (229) and Southern Beaches (51).

“We believe some buyers were sitting on the fence last quarter because of uncertain economic conditions brought about by the federal election and the end of financial year,” Ms Campbell said.

“We’re expecting an increase in sales in the coming months which is going to put further pressure on supply of new apartments all along the coast but particularly in the Southern Beaches.”

The average sale price across the Gold Coast in the last quarter was $579,997 with the most popular product being two-bedroom, two-bathroom apartments.

The Gold Coast Central precinct recorded the most activity for the fourth consecutive quarter with 203 unconditional sales at an average price of $609,084. Of the 27 active projects in the precinct, 23 are completed or under construction, leaving just four projects in presale phase.

The Coastal Fringe recorded 50 sales at an average price of $451,000, the North Shore had 37 sales at $533,108 and the Southern Beaches had 14 at $742,857.

Ms Campbell said there had also been a 55 percent increase in the number of developments “deferred” over the past 12 months.

“Projects tagged as deferred may eventually proceed to the marketing and construction phase but it is unlikely to occur in the short term.”

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  • Fuelled by strong infrastructure growth, relative affordability and renewed confidence, some Gold Coast regions are now facing a potential shortage of new apartments within the next 12 months
  • The Southern Beaches precinct is confronted with the most imminent shortage
  • 304 new apartments sold on the Gold Coast in the last financial quarter
  • The average sale price across the Gold Coast in the last quarter was $579,997
  • Two bedroom, two bathroom apartments are the most popular product.

 

*Coastal Fringe suburbs include Arundel, Parkwood, Molendinar, Ashmore, Benowa, Bundall, Carrara, Robina, Clear Island Waters, Merrimac and Varsity Lakes.

*North Shore suburbs include Biggera Waters, Coombabah, Helensvale, Hollywell, Hope Island, Paradise Point and Runaway Bay.

*Gold Coast Central suburbs include Labrador, Southport, Main Beach, Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach and Broadbeach Waters.

*Southern Beaches suburbs include Bilinga, Burleigh Heads, Burleigh Waters, Casuarina, Coolangatta, Currumbin, Kingscliff, Kirra, Mermaid Beach, Mermaid Waters, Miami, Palm Beach, Tugun and Tweed Heads.